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Thread: 2005-6 "EARTH" quakes +

  1. #31
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  2. #32
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    SUM er "Active" Quake season05


    2453543 FULL MOON DATE: 2005 6 21 /
    2453545 PERIGEE 359696 KM
    2453558 NEW MOON DATE: 2005 7 6
    2453560 APOGEE 406355 KM
    2453572 FULL MOON DATE: 2005 7 20 /
    2453573 PERIGEE 357197 KM
    2453587 NEW MOON DATE: 2005 8 4
    2453588 APOGEE 406612 KM
    2453602 FULL MOON DATE: 2005 8 19 <
    2453602 PERIGEE 357417 KM
    2453615 APOGEE 406231 KM
    2453617 NEW MOON DATE: 2005 9 3
    2453630 PERIGEE 360413 KM
    2453631 FULL MOON DATE: 2005 9 17 \

    lemme say "FULL" and move along
    the "SYNC" date =JD2453602 when Moon=Full & at Perigee (comprenda)?
    Usually an active season is considered to be three Months (90) days
    Howvere on occasion it strings out for Four? (this May be one of those)
    SO: in June begin to place your precious CHINA in ballanced position
    Fine details later as THOSE enter your sceene {now back to Px}


  3. #33
    Guest

    20050525

    2453543 FULL MOON DATE: 2005 6 21 /
    2453545 PERIGEE 359696 KM

  4. #34
    Guest

    20050526

    once the SYNC date has been found {prior 2 posts}
    then the fine structure is superinposed over that as outlined below
    DETAILS [or fine structure}

    ================================================== ===using: ~"
    so a theoritical Season's of "Applause"(s) more like the following:
    ===7======7=======7======7=======7======7== Earths 2nd GW harmonic
    ==c-c====c-c=====c-c====c-c=====c-c====c-c==(aproach & depart Clap)
    ===<==14==>=======<==14==>=======<==14==> === 14&3/4 day GW Primary
    /====29=====1/4=====29=====1/4=====29=====1/4Moon {3 Moons(Months)}
    |=Applause|Lull|=Applause|Lull|=Applause| aka(A TWO LULL) Season (of)
    "::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::: ::::::::::::::::


    its difficult to get it all to align properly without HTML ?

    the 1st fine point is the SYNC date to get position the fine structure OVER

    2453602 FULL MOON DATE: 2005 8 19 <
    2453602 PERIGEE 357417 KM
    USING THIS data {2 post prior} the "PRIMO" date is 8/19

    Full moon occurs ?"about"? 7 days after 1st1/4

  5. #35
    Guest

    20050527

    "Working out" the fine details
    /===July====?/?====Aug===?/?====Sept?
    ====1/4====29====1/4====29=====1/4====29 Moon {3 Moons(Months)}
    3 6 9 2 5 8F1 4 7 0 3 6 9 2 5 8F1 4 7 0 3 6 9 2 5F8 1 4 7 0

    ---------------------------

    in other WORDS the ?"{ACTIVE}"? Full Moon occurs about SEVEN(7)
    days after the Quarter or about 5 days after LULL@1st1/4

    =====
    Quakes ARE NOT 4cast in this methode by the fine detail HERE
    provided today.. but ::"ARE"?? 4CAST {by super fine details} Later

    ::::::
    the Main points 1.Active season approacheth 2. ON FULL Moon Cycle
    3: Main event is Augest 4? it may be a four applause season

    ?????
    4 applause seasons ore the exception NOT THE RULE, they do happen
    and thus June may very well be an ACTIVE QUAKE Month?

    //tilt\\ stay tuned if U like .. or ignor's fine2 (superFINE) next week Maybe

  6. #36
    Guest

    SUPERfine 20050531

    2453602 FULL MOON DATE: 2005 8 19 <
    2453602 PERIGEE 357417 KM

    Begin over on the "MAIN SYNC DATE"
    When Perigee?=Full Moon
    TBC count back and forward 3 days = 8/16 8/22
    that Quake pair should be the Main event of the active season

  7. #37
    Guest

    20050607

    2453543 FULL MOON DATE: 2005 6 21 / 2453545 PERIGEE 359696 KM
    2453572 FULL MOON DATE: 2005 7 20 / 2453573 PERIGEE 357197 KM
    2453602 FULL MOON DATE: 2005 8 19 < 2453602 PERIGEE 357417 KM
    2453631 FULL MOON DATE: 2005 9 17 \ 2453630 PERIGEE 360413 KM
    ------------------
    reCALL: these are Sync Numbers {not detail} for detail add and subtract 3
    so the MAIN WATCH = 6/18 & 6/24 : 7/17 & 7/23 : 8/16 & 8/22 : 9/14 & 9/20
    ====
    THUS the main "Central Applause" DATES
    REMember an "Active" Season is at least 3 Months {90 days}
    THIS time it may well be 4 Months {rare but know} {120d}
    :::::
    see super fine details
    for example 6/21-14.75=6/6+/-3=6/3&6/9 ?/?
    7/20-14.75=7/5+/-3=7/2&8
    8/19-14.75=8/4+/-3=8/1&7
    9/17-14.75=9/2+/-3=8/30&9/5
    ????????????? so?
    6/3.6/9.:.6/18.6/24..:..7/2.7/8.:.7/17.7/23..:..8/1.8/7.:.816.8/22..:..8/30.9/5.:.9/14.9/20
    { -----Applause----- }{ -----Applause----- }{ -----Applause----- }{ -----Applause----- }
    possibly 4 applauses (16to20 main DAYs {of which abou 70%80%} r4CAST4}) 5.6's or better at least 3 6's etcso I begin My Search 20050608 7:37AM PDT
    http://earthquake.usgs.gov/recenteqs...uakes_all.html

  8. #38
    Guest

    20050608

    http://earthquake.usgs.gov/recenteqs...uakes_all.html

    6/3.. 6.1 2005/06/04 14:50:49 -6.334 146.817 43.7 EASTERN NEW GUINEA REG, PAPUA NEW GUINEA
    6/9.. 6.3 2005/06/08 06:28:12 2.178 96.695 28.4 SIMEULUE, INDONESIA
    """" "5.9 2005/06/09 14:00:50 51.597 -131.102 10.0 QUEEN CHARLOTTE ISLANDS REGION
    " """"5.4 2005/06/09 14:00:50 51.582 -131.136 10.0 QUEEN CHARLOTTE ISLANDS REGION {note the 1d Mag Change }



    6.0 2005/06/12 19:26:25 -56.276 -27.007 94.4 SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION
    6.0 2005/06/13 07:02:37 2.108 126.674 35.8 MOLUCCA SEA
    7.8 2005/06/13 22:44:33 -19.895 -69.125 108.4 TARAPACA, CHILE
    6.8 2005/06/14 17:10:17 51.309 179.413 51.7 RAT ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS, ALASKA
    7.2 2005/06/15 02:50:54 41.328 -125.868 10.0 OFF THE COAST OF NORTHERN CALIFOR {depth in KILOmeters= 10.0} Off the Co
    6.3 2005/06/15 10:13:59 -4.602 153.119 76.2 NEW IRELAND REGION, PAPUA NEW GUINE
    6.5 2005/06/15 19:52:24 -44.975 -80.568 10.0 OFF THE COAST OF AISEN, CHILE


    6.7 2005/06/17 06:21:42 40.758 -126.595 10.0 OFF THE COAST OF NORTHERN CALIFORNIA
    6/18.
    6/24.

    7/2..
    7/8..

    7/17.
    7/23.

    8/1..
    8/7..

    8/16.
    8/22.

    8/30.
    9/5..

    9/14.
    9/20.

    file check dates 6/ 8 9 10


  9. #39
    Guest

    20050609 Moving along anyway

    to? http://www.pnsn.org/WEBICORDER/PNSN/...005060912.html

    as a filter to some of the "NOISE"

    link?} http://web.pdx.edu/~pdx00782/img5/0609hood.jpg
    7:36am PDT 20050610 note? ---|||=:--- bottom line (probably){A Go_Mint}dT's
    8:18 {Math Lab Closed till Sum/Term} Thus:: QUEEN CHARLOTTE IS
    PLUS hood, Flag Point { no i dont know where Flag Point Is }?
    I would expect "Off The OREGON Coast" on BBC at 5:55AM PDT {Soon}?

    VFP SHZ UW : Flag Pt. Mount Hood, OR http://www.pnsn.org/WEBICORDER/PNSN/

    7:42 6/10 http://www.pnsn.org/WEBICORDER/PNSN/...005060912.html
    7:44 http://www.pnsn.org/WEBICORDER/PNSN/...005060912.html

    anyway? compare/contrast the strange 8--line{Green} signal at several sites
    {BLACK LINE dT} = .3Min & .5Min Green Line {"DELAY"} 11 Min? +{Humm}?
    dT's Date Time STAMPED

  10. #40
    Guest

    20050615


    %% 6:07 AM 6/15/05 Scientific Poppy Cock {C} {hmm?}?
    Well? I cannot find my file with the 5:55 in it...
    So I'll fake someWHAT?/ at 5:50 AM PDT on the BBC
    bradcast {CH10 OPB} (Oregon Public Broadcast) THEY?
    reported a 7.1 Quake in california... (no report of)?
    --------------
    For my part from memory? I do not recall my 4cast
    DATE NUMBERS... there were 6's as i recall at this
    time? Maybe a Six/Nine{6/9} but i'll have to recheck
    once i get online {if I get online} (HMM2) IN THE
    meantime i'll look at the Moon?/? 1st1/4=01:24UTC 6/15
    =============
    So it would be my guess, the 5:50 Blurb was a parity on
    Lull@1st1/4 {due in 48 hours & 48 mili Second2} air?
    I would not 'poise that the .1 {string} would be maintained
    IF this is a buck back tail.. but that like all good NEws
    (North East wEST sOUTH) aid would drift right B4 touch down2
    :::::::::::::::::
    in the following paragraph {below ??} i'll attempt to find the
    4CAST4 these TVized cover... of this tails.. IF I can find 'EM
    I'll appologize for not paying attention to this silliness My
    own self ... as 7.'s simply are to small to attract my attention
    {apearently}? anyway?: i've nothing further {see .2? below ??}
    ?????????????
    9:13AM PDT NH439C03 http://www.badastronomy.com/phpBB/vi...=483886#483886
    expect "Off The OREGON Coast" on BBC at 5:55AM PDT {Soon}?

    SO there tiz? I 'poise Ca is JUST off D O Coast {BWUW}
    now back to?



  11. #41
    Guest

    9:25

    Ok? note the Depth: ONE ZERO point Zero So its said?
    anyway? the tail today is about the LULL@1st1/4
    ---
    thats NORMALLY Occures TWO(0) days after the first Quarter Moon
    which occured on the 15th so the fine detail would suggest 6/17
    ==
    NOTE2: the 6/16 4cast4.. is VERY close to the Lull? {to close i'd say}
    anyway i'll attempt to plot the curve durring the upcomming LULL@1st1/4
    :::::::
    and see if U can see any LULL 4yourself
    My guess IS that the Lull will occure but that the time frame may be
    ?????
    shifted slightly
    1 day Late? 6/18 ?/?

  12. #42
    Join Date
    May 2002
    Posts
    5,455
    HUb', you keep bringing this up but you have never addressed the fact the average rate and size of quakes is unchanged.

  13. #43
    Guest

    20050616

    Quote Originally Posted by beskeptical
    HUb', you keep bringing this up but you have never addressed the fact the average rate and size of quakes is unchanged.
    Yeah? Tanks {I mean Tents} as in Second TentsI digress?
    back to todays trail {Stickey}? anyway the local news paper
    {called the Oregonion}( no link provided ) had a cover story yesterday
    maybe only on the Earily edition? (who knows)? about a TZunomi aleart
    "on the OREGON Coast" I was going to read it myself but forgot2
    -----------
    I guess the drift of it may have been that the Ca 7.? {whatever}
    gave reason for the small town that has a system in place
    (Canon Beach) to do a live test.. that possibly went sout?
    ========
    Like i've said { ( I DID NOT read the paper ) } i only saw the
    head line in the news stand (which are locked up){and require COINs to
    operate} etc..
    :::::::: ok back to Now 10:50 in a few minutes {ed @}?10:57 AM PDT?

    map 3.9 2005/06/16 12:11:17 40.777 -126.485 10.0 OFF THE COAST OF NORTHERN CALIFORNIA
    map 3.5 2005/06/16 11:37:51 36.086 -120.144 15.6 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA
    map 2.6 2005/06/16 08:46:16 33.500 -116.536 10.5 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
    map 2.7 2005/06/16 02:42:27 40.428 -125.099 0.3 OFFSHORE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA
    map 2.9 2005/06/16 02:40:56 40.370 -125.488 2.4 OFFSHORE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA
    map 3.6 2005/06/16 02:30:27 40.417 -125.342 5.0 OFFSHORE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA
    map 2.7 2005/06/15 20:59:51 40.443 -124.077 0.0 NORTHERN CALIFORNIA
    map 3.4 2005/06/15 13:23:01 40.798 -125.586 34.2 OFF THE COAST OF NORTHERN CALIFORNIA
    map 4.7 2005/06/15 07:14:12 40.905 -126.392 10.0 OFF THE COAST OF NORTHERN CALIFORNIA
    map 4.7 2005/06/15 06:27:06 40.823 -126.489 10.0 OFF THE COAST OF NORTHERN CALIFORNIA
    map 3.5 2005/06/15 04:37:10 40.837 -125.825 23.5 OFF THE COAST OF NORTHERN CALIFORNIA
    map 3.7 2005/06/15 04:17:17 40.974 -125.978 2.5 OFF THE COAST OF NORTHERN CALIFORNIA
    so it may be that the trail {N} will change from
    OFF THE to offshure { i mean shore}

  14. #44
    Join Date
    May 2003
    Location
    of Greatest Eclipse, Aug. 21 2017 (Kentucky, USA)
    Posts
    4,552
    If anyone is interested, that article is here. If that doesn't work, try the front page: http://www.oregonlive.com/news/. The newspaper article seems to mostly discuss the flaws in the coastal warning system, which looked like it was being discussed in the tsunami warning thread.
    Oh, and for completeness, The Oregonian is Portland's newspaper.

  15. #45
    Guest

    20050617

    NUMBER of QUAKES per DAY in data set {June 2005}
    9 ====================================
    10 ===============================
    11 =======================
    12 ==============================
    13 ========================
    14 ==================================
    15 ==================

    CUMULATIVE SUM OF MAGNITUDES per day /3 from data set
    9 =============================================
    10 ===========================================
    11 ==========================
    12 ======================================
    13 =================================
    14 ==================================================
    15 ========================
    -------------------------------------------------
    NUMBER of QUAKES per DAY >5.55 {FROM "the" REDUCED data set}
    9 =
    10 =
    12 ==
    13 ==
    14 ===
    15 ===
    CUMULATIVE SUM OF MAGNITUDES per day /3 {FROM data set >5.55}
    9 =
    10 =
    12 ===
    13 ====
    14 ======
    15 ======
    NOTE2U: it seams "clear" to me / is different than \ (maybe not though)
    My 4cast4 remains that i'll see a LULL@1st1/4 {maybe on the 18th}?
    FROM the >5.55 ?"reduced"? data set. Probably not in the "data set"?
    where I would 'poise a "Hi" number in the NUMBER of Quakes 4that day2?
    i DO wish to comment on the new papers in Cramer Hall basement oK? ?/?
    THIS FILE COMPLETED 4:06 PM 6/16/05 {bwuw}


    %% 5:42 AM 6/17/05 Scientific Poppy Cock {C} (hmm)
    Well1? School's scheduled to begin Monday 6/20
    ---
    i'll try4 PH211 General Physics-Calculus CH271 11:45
    TA399U NH11 W 5:30PM SPST: Understanding Mov
    ==
    BBC today seams to be rerunning yesterdays neWS ?/?
    i've no explaination? {other than preRECorded} ?????
    :::::::
    NOW, reconsidering: http://www.badastronomy.com/phpBB/vi...=483886#483886
    its seams clear the ||| signal "following" |\ means
    ??
    something? What i dont know? could it be avolanche's
    or Rock Fall? clearly widespread? Magma? probably not?


  16. #46
    Guest

    20050617 9:41 AM PDT

    Quote Originally Posted by Tobin Dax
    If anyone is interested, that article is here. If that doesn't work, try the front page: http://www.oregonlive.com/news/. The newspaper article seems to mostly discuss the flaws in the coastal warning system, which looked like it was being discussed in the tsunami warning thread.
    Oh, and for completeness, The Oregonian is Portland's newspaper.

    WELL?
    for some reason or other? I turned on the TV (YESterday) and "Field Guide" was abou 1/2 way thru ... it was about the RETREATING Glaciers?
    {up on Mount Hood}? with a local PSU professor manning the Gear..
    ----
    I thought it starange at the time but it was 1/2 way over and the next
    segment was about the Three Sisters Area and the "OBSIDIAN" trail
    So 4Me the plot was just thicking ... U C
    =
    today on my way in here NH437C03 the normal pathway {thru the park}
    is blockaded with an ART FESTIVAL {lots &LOTS of white tents} Guards ...
    :::
    so I took an alternate route {thru Music (LH)} Cramer Sub ... on my way to the seismo.. as I entered the Basement (from the sub) who should be
    opening the door to CH17 but said equipment (GEAR) handler {hmm}
    ???
    so I delayed a bit, and then approached the seismo site.. there ? (WHERE)?
    the papers are posted, about offshore (CA) was a 2guy 1 gal crew
    discussing events.. So I avoided looking at the papers and moved along
    QUICKLEY now South in Cramers mid hall ... and low and behold
    the Wife of said Gear handler was also entering HER space {see Obsidian trail} at the time ... whoo Hi Gear so I did get here by rerouting past the
    French club SMC236 {in Spanish}? it makes no sence ... Maybe I read it wrong? So yeah: Later Gater and flat 5's too.

  17. #47
    Guest

  18. #48
    Guest

    200617 5:07PM

    %% 3:51 PM 6/17/05 sqU/O^ie(A'misH {yeah? Hi Hi (HiHo)'s}
    A broader discription {of the North end} (of the Central)
    {North South} Cramer basement Hall {WHERE it ends)
    AT the North (EAST/WEST) hall below the steps up to
    CH1 etc etc (And where {just to the Right} facing North
    the seismograph Drum is located behind sliding Glass doors
    -----------------
    Today (the :"NINE": paper pages previously describe)
    {as well as i could locate them}(on the web) are taped
    up to the Glass.. on the East sliding glass door panel?
    ========
    Anyway the Seiesmic Drum (farthest West component) "DID"
    have paper on it.. and did have red ink tracings from
    side to side {L-R} indicating some very minor activitys
    of one type or another, mostly single spikes ?/?
    ::::::::
    next Right again facing north looking thru the glass
    are two computer moniters(CRTs) the left appeared stuck
    on the Mt St Hellens Web cam ... the right stopped on
    (you dont have access to this page)
    ????????????
    the Left Three papers (Landscape Format) Wider than Tall
    showed the Saturated (|||:||>>-) Signal for the Hour {2}?
    the middle one of those three Broke off a portion of
    the leading several minutes Streched and dislayed the
    Unlimited WaveForm.. the bottom(3/3) a selected portion
    of 2{above} showing detail of the main (P+S} wave parts
    //tilt\\
    thus there were three time scales = 11 in (1/3) 24/1hr/1day
    Saturated (2/3) one 1hr line showing full amplitudes (3/3) Just
    the Leading few minutes {10-15}? filling an 11 inch page
    beyound tilted already:
    As I recall these pages were accessing the PSU seismic
    Equipment {Located in the SUB_Basement} (I'll Search WEB)

  19. #49
    Guest

  20. #50
    Guest

    20050618

    %% 7:11 PM 6/17/05 Reg_i/o_mo {Mat_0_Mag'IC} Final Ed.
    it took me a VERY LONG TIME, at last? page one of three OF NINE was found
    http://seismos.geol.pdx.edu/Seismogr...2005-06-15.GIF (1/3)
    ----------
    maybe 2 & 3 come from the raw data ... anyway thats my current guess.
    I ran out of time so that download was aborted.. 21megs Slowley?/?
    What took me so long? The http://www.pdx.edu web site has been changed
    ======
    boo to THAT: I couldn't find the geology department anywhere .. and the
    search crap took me to a phone NUMBER & i've no CELL PHONE.. in fact i've
    NO PHONE at all.. this is a WEB medium ? Can't they leave links to dept's
    ::::::::::
    ENOUGH: rant_N back to the North End ... So yeah, took another LOOK its
    15 Minutes (3/3) (not 10) The P:S intervals not Clear ? to me anyway ?
    there just seams to be an S1 S2 ?/? My chart puts P:S at around 1 min
    ????
    and S:S2 about 1/4 of 1 {further study needed}?/? the other questions
    WERE A: & B: B was a NW seismo map (R1,C2) of 3X3=9 or #4/9..
    A: was penciled in{Marked up} as slip>/<strike OR S\S (4Later2}?


    http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/FM/neic_ziae_q.html
    hmm? well thats one of the NINE pages
    when I said 1 of 3 (1/3) I ment the top Left
    the papers form a 3x3 matrix (3 down 3 across)
    like a tic tack to board # so the discription should be A1 I 'poise
    as i recall the _q would be C2 ( third Column sencond row)
    however if its i'th row j'th column (R,C) then maybe (2,3) is correct
    HOPEFULLY i'll get the # labels correct SOON: HUb'

  21. #51
    Join Date
    Mar 2003
    Location
    Calgary Alberta
    Posts
    1,074
    What! Are you saying that there is a possibility/probability that there will be a 5.3 plus quake in the Andreas plate about now? At about 1%,

    Edit

  22. #52
    Guest

    20050620 Classes begin in 1/2 hr

    Quote Originally Posted by snowcelt
    What! Are you saying that there is a possibility/probability that there will be a 5.3 plus quake in the Andreas plate about now? At about 1%,

    Edit

    %% 1:14 PM 6/19/05 Scientific Poppy Cock {C} (Equation_1st)
    t=(0:0.1:120) % 120 day (4 applause){three Lull} Summer05 Season_of
    plot(t,.5+.5*sin(t/40)+abs(sin(t/4.7))+.5*cos(t/2.35)) % Long Season
    ----------
    in this 1st approximation? its necessary to note that the ?:" SHIFT ":?
    (or frequency MODULATION){Component} is left out.. The Result of the
    Shift? causes the LULL@1st1/4 to be displaced from the normal 2 days after
    ==========
    their 4: as the Lull {over a long time span} shifts eithor side of the
    NORMAL 2 days after First Quarter Moon.. Any effort to sort the fft
    component 14&3/4 days out.. gets washed away by the shift..
    ::::
    HOWEVER: once the general pattern is set OVER the short term data
    A picture of coincidence should be observable by those so inclined
    to see such patterns emerge from what to many seams total random
    ??
    its NOT.. link to theroized graph} http://web.pdx.edu/~pdx00782/img5/eq6.jpg

    link to plot of ALL data_A}
    LINK TO: (>5.55) data_5}
    //tilt\\
    THIS (event time) has Ignored SHIFT, but that shift2 is probably
    possible to FORMuLATE.


    %% MyAn:
    t=(0:0.1:120);
    plot(t,1.2+.2*sin((t)/44)+abs(sin(t/2.35))+(.07*sin((t+15)/4.7)+.45).*cos(t/1.175))
    hold on
    % plot(t,.05*sin((t+14)/4.7)+1.95)
    title('THEROIZED Summer05 (4M)"Long" EarthQuake cycles')
    text(13,1.71,' ^ ')
    text(12,1.69,'6/18')
    text(12,1.66,'LULL')
    text(43,1.82,' ^ ')
    text(42,1.79,'July')
    text(42,1.76,'LULL')
    text(72,1.84,' ^ ')
    text(71,1.82,'Aug')
    text(71,1.79,'LULL')
    text(102,1.77,' ^ ')
    text(100,1.75,'Sept')
    text(100,1.72,'LULL')
    text(19,2.10,'June')
    text(19,2.07,'Full.')
    text(49,2.18,'July')
    text(49,2.15,'Full.')
    text(79,2.18,'Aug')
    text(79,2.15,'Full.')
    text(108,2.11,'Sept')
    text(108,2.08,'Full.')
    text(28,1.75,'3/4')
    text(57,1.82,'3/4')
    text(87,1.80,'3/4')
    text(34,2.09,'New.')
    text(63,2.14,'New.')
    text(94,2.10,'New.')

    %% MyAn:
    t=(0:1:120);
    f1=(.1+sin(t/44));
    f2=(sin((t+15)/4.7))+.6;
    f3=.5*(cos(t/2.35))+1;
    f4=4*abs(sin(t/2.35))-2.5;
    f5=2*cos(t/1.175);
    f6=f2+f3;
    plot(t,f6.*(f4+f5))
    % axis([0 60 2 10])
    pause(15)
    hold on
    plot(t,f4+f5,'r')
    plot(t,f3+f2,'g')
    %plot(t,f2,'y')
    plot(t,f1,'m')
    %plot(t,f5,'c')



    %% 6:13 AM 6/20/05 MyAn: 6CAUAC 17 ZOTZ JD2453542
    Above? are two versions of .m files used in an attempt at visualization
    of the current :" SUMMER05 ": "Active" Earth Quake _SEASON_
    -----
    THERE EXIST: many many MANY problems with BOTH: #1 Neithor deal in any way
    with the ?"SHIFT"? that is to say? {the frequency modulation} of the SIN
    or perhaps (the phase shift over TIME) {({ ( its SLINKEY components ) )})
    ====
    #2 the y axis values: Those numbers between 0&2 as ploted represent in so
    generalized way {inacuratly} the NUMBER &/or Cumulative Mag SUMs of EVENTS
    which numbers (CS) range from ZeroS to maybe 30 or even as high as 40 ...
    ::::
    #3 nor is the relative amplitudes of the individual components, represented
    in any factual manner. but can be EASILY assumed to be quite Falce and
    missleading ... NONE the LESS: these are presented as MY 1st aproximations
    ????
    What I would hope to convay, if anything at all, is a broad generalized
    pattern Which WHEN overlain on the plot of the actuall data numbers GRAPHs
    by means of "constant" shiftings (Left&Right}? to achive cooralations in t.
    S0 Later? #-o #-o #-o

  23. #53
    Guest

    20050621


    NUMBER of QUAKES per DAY {in data set}
    9 ====================================
    10 ===============================
    11 =======================
    12 ==============================
    13 ========================
    14 ==================================
    15 ============================
    16 =========================
    17 =======================
    18 ========== { THIS LULL ? is the "ONE" I call :"LULL@1st1/4":
    19 ==============
    20 ==============
    CUMULATIVE SUM OF MAGNITUDES per day /3 {in data set}
    9 =============================================
    10 ===========================================
    11 ==========================
    12 ======================================
    13 =================================
    14 ==================================================
    15 ======================================
    16 ==============================
    17 =============================
    18 =========== { THIS LULL ? is the "ONE" I call :"LULL@1st1/4":
    19 ==================
    20 ==================
    NUMBER of QUAKES >5.55 per DAY {in data set}
    9 =
    10 =
    12 ==
    13 ==
    14 ===
    15 ====
    17 =
    { THIS LULL ? is the "ONE" I call :"LULL@1st1/4":
    19 =
    20 =
    CUMULATIVE SUM OF MAGNITUDES per day /3 {in data set > 5.55}
    9 =
    10 =
    12 ===
    13 ====
    14 ======
    15 ========
    17 ==
    { THIS LULL ? is the "ONE" I call :"LULL@1st1/4":
    19 =
    20 =
    --------------D'claim'N
    #1 4Me it does show up .a. YES: delayed 1 day {rather tipically
    .2 U C that the data in the data set changes from day to day
    B: because on the 18th it was 2.8 while it was 3.1 a change of .3
    ==========
    note: 2self? thats a change in CUMULATIVE SUM {however its spelt}
    and does not count twards finding a cause of phase shift.. AND
    by phase shift (today) I mean the +1 day move in June of LULL@1st1/4
    ::::::::
    In July? it may possibly? occure when its supposed2 (50 hours after)
    the moon reaches its first Quarter (15:22utc 14 July)+50=7/16@1730
    and that should be the time WHEN I look for A Lull {probably NOT}?
    ??????
    REMember (Quite Clearly) My mythode {is not logical positivism}
    (ei predicting WHEN an EarthQuake will occure) its based upon
    Ill-Logical negativism ( Say as best I can ... when there WONT BE some)
    //tilt\\
    yeah? i feal tilted?/? what did i skip 2day? Lull occured |/ |/
    data changed |/ an increase (to the right{above}) should occure
    in general?/? in accordance with {but unrelated MagNitTudanally }2:

    http://web.pdx.edu/~pdx00782/img5/eq6.jpg

    &beyound this LIne.. So the Lulls are liNED up theory & data {at Lull}
    and the general pattern is then expected to hold over a short time
    frame OF (DAYS) OR {WEEKS}. the shifs move the data. So New Do 2Do
    &BB
    the result of shifts {over LONG time frames} Makes it inposible
    using STANDARD fft's to find a fit... So: yeah? No need 2LOOK4 1
    My guess (whaterver causes Shift) is about ready to reverse (July)?

  24. #54
    Guest

    20050623

    http://web.pdx.edu/~pdx00782/img5/eq6.jpg


    WELL?


    I changed the flavor of the above link
    the THEORY comes in several
    none of which are particularly assthetic
    ------
    mostly the Y scale should be igored completly
    or given a HUGE correction factorial?
    2 X or 3 X on the peak numbers?/?
    =====
    mostly the purpose
    IS to help locate LULL@1st1/4
    about two days after
    :::::
    THE MOON reacheth its FIRST QUARTER
    in June of 05 it was the 15th
    two day later was the 17th
    ????
    there a frequency shift component
    (TO confound LP's)
    so June was 18th 4Lull {BWUW}
    //tilt\\
    its my guess that the Phase shift?
    Frequency Modulation component
    that shifts the lull to and fro (From 1/4 + 2)
    is currently in compression mode
    but i've no data or 1 clue EVEN to base my guess upon
    ?? bT ??? i'll probably now just get to bored and 4GET it all ?/?

  25. #55
    Join Date
    Mar 2004
    Posts
    374
    Hub, so graph seems to be showing a pattern of higher frequency of quakes during the full moon, with a lull at the new?

  26. #56
    Guest

    20050625

    Quote Originally Posted by sidmel
    Hub, so graph seems to be showing a pattern of higher frequency of quakes during the full moon, with a lull at the new?

    YEAH:
    I loose intrest in this stuff REAL FAST
    as 4me its pretty rutine & monoTINus
    i'll howvever download todays numbers
    since you did post ... and respond mon or Tue? {maybe}?


  27. #57
    Guest

    20050627


    NUMBER of QUAKES >5.55 per DAY {in data set}
    9 =
    10 =
    12 ==
    13 ==
    14 ===
    15 ==== (1st Quarter)
    17 =
    {?:" the "Main Event" ":? the LULL@1st1/4
    19 =
    20 =
    21 ==
    CUMULATIVE SUM OF MAGNITUDES per day /3 {in data set > 5.55}
    9 =
    10 =
    12 ===
    13 ====
    14 ======
    15 ========
    17 ==
    {LULL@1st1/4}
    19 =
    20 =
    21 ===
    NUMBER of QUAKES per DAY {in data set}
    9 ====================================
    10 ===============================
    11 =======================
    12 ==============================
    13 ========================
    14 ==================================
    15 ============================
    16 =========================
    17 =======================
    18 ========== {L@}
    19 ==============
    20 ==============================
    21 =========================
    22 ===========
    23 =================
    24 ==================
    25 ========
    CUMULATIVE SUM OF MAGNITUDES per day /3 {in data set}
    9 =============================================
    10 ===========================================
    11 ==========================
    12 ======================================
    13 =================================
    14 ==================================================
    15 ======================================
    16 ==============================
    17 =============================
    18 =========== {L@}
    19 ==================
    20 =========================================
    21 ================================
    22 ============
    23 ====================
    24 ======================
    25 ========
    The REST is ACcADemic {maybe}
    .1 Durring this {Summer}? (of 05) Season{/Long1}? The Actions on Full Moon
    as thats when the Perigees occure..
    B.? because I do NOT know how ... to get the theoretical Amplitudes correct
    HERE (Bar ploted as ========){the 15th Was 8*3=24} ? 10*theory number ?
    It can be also said about the theory Graph that WHEN the Moon reaches NEW
    /Apogee the numbers{data} should diminish noticably? How far I donno (Less)
    -----
    Another {I don't know HOW to do it}? is "50hr.Slinky" aka ?"Phase Shift"? aka
    the frequency 'MODULATION' components {which shift the LULL@} (Off its normal)
    TWO(2) Day's after to maybe 3? I say? it doeth take place Slowly over time
    ====
    AND its still my guess July "LULL@" may be closer to on schedule ({ 2 days })
    than Junes was. I have no ?STUFF? to base that on only Guessing SO?
    But the General / \L/\ / \ /\ predicted pattern should be observable
    ::::
    BY Those who can see it. By others {of course} THEY see it very differently
    I can only say (4Myself) I DO see a LULL@1st1/4 (about exactly WHEN) I 4Cast
    it to arrive way back in '98 or B4.. To me +/- one day in seven years is Ok
    ????
    7*365.25=2556 {whats that}? .05% not that this matters.. Sure NastroD could
    due EVEN better thousands of years ago?
    The Main + Event of these Events will be due Later July or AUGEST. Duck&Co

  28. #58
    Join Date
    Mar 2004
    Posts
    374
    LOL. Just imagine if ND had a computer... 'course, today he'd be considered a woo woo.


    **Edited for sp.

  29. #59
    Guest

    20050628 He HE


    %%% 8:32 PM 6/27/05 Scientific Poppy Cock {C} (CLAP-clap)
    Looking at the First Aproximation WaveForm it appears that the events
    following 1st 1/4 should be Greater than those that preceed it..
    AND theres reason to expect it to be true {as the Moon aproaches perigee&F}
    -----------------
    HOWEVER: as is often the case (the cumulated strain) gets triggered at
    the first opertunity and the Strain gets to disapeted to have a strong
    second half.. Even though it should be there. So Its true when theres
    considerable activity going into the First Quarter Lull theres a weak 2nd
    ==============
    Some times the second part of clap+CLAP is not even visable at all..
    So yeah... the General theory suggest an increasing activity going forward
    tward Perigee & Full. It does appear that the pre LULL activity was
    sufficient to relieve the accumulated strain therefor a weak second part
    ::::::::::::
    I rather do expect Another Strong showing Come July (P+F) as I would 'poise
    theres plenty Left in this Season.. Whether it will go a FULL Four months..
    that I donno ... its very probable from what I can deduce. With August or
    September being the main "BIG" event.. in as much as its Sevens up front
    ?????????
    its probable an 8 could be in the making... its my conclusion that for the
    next two hundred(200) years EarthQuakes will be on a Marked increase over
    the averages of the last 6-800. Earth is Just at the beginning of HARD
    Quake times in my opinion... these details are yet to find data support



  30. #60
    Guest

    20050705

    http://earthquake.usgs.gov/recenteqs...uakes_all.html

    DISCLAIMER2: by the end of Aug05 the changes begin to take place
    to quickly for me to follow or make any sence of the tails
    "Just REMember this" My opinion will be "Someday" that is all just PURE
    ::" Go_Mint":: propaganda { and has little to do with 4cast4 } 20050826


    NUMBER of QUAKES per DAY {in data set}
    6/9 ===========/========================
    10 =========/=====================
    11 =======<===============
    12 ========\=====================
    13 ==========\=============
    14 ===========>======================
    15 ==========/=================
    16 =========/===============
    17 ========/==============
    18 ======<===
    19 ========\=====
    20 =========\====================
    21 ========>================
    22 ======/====
    23 =====/===========
    24 ====/=============
    25 ===<=============
    26 ====\================
    27 =====\======================
    28 ======\=======
    29 =======>==============
    30 ======/============
    7/1 =====/======
    02 ====/==========
    03 ===<===
    04 ====\======
    05 =====\=====================
    06 ======\======
    07 =======>===================
    08 ======/======
    09 =====/============
    10 ====<===
    11 =====\=====
    12 ======\====================
    13 =======\===========
    14 =========>========
    15 ========/===============
    16 =======/=============
    17 =====<=====
    20 ======\===================
    21 =======\============
    22 ========\=================
    23 ========>==============
    24 =======/=====
    25 ======/==============
    26 =====?=======================
    8/2 =======\===============
    03 ========\================
    04 =========\======================
    05 ==========>=================
    06 =========/==========
    07 =======/========================
    08 ======/===============
    09 ====<=============
    10 ======\=============
    11 =======\================
    12 ========\==========
    13 =========>================= 1/4
    14 ========/=========== begin political propaganda on 1/4
    15 =======/================
    15 ===============/===============
    16 ==============<======= i'll call this "DAY" the Lull
    17 ===============\==== {probably "it" took place at Night 20:20 - 23:32}
    ???????????????????????????\
    16 =============================
    17 ==========================
    18 ===============
    19 ====================
    20 =====================
    21 ====================

    19 ===================>================
    20 ===============/========
    21 ==========/==========
    22 =================
    23 ======/=====


    CUMULATIVE SUM OF MAGNITUDES per day /3 {in data set}
    6/9 =============================================
    10 ===========================================
    11 ==========================
    12 ======================================
    13 =================================
    14 ==================================================
    15 ====================================== 1st/4
    16 ==============================
    17 =============================
    18 =========== {LULL@1st1/4 (Main Syncronizing signal
    19 ==================
    20 =========================================
    21 ================================
    22 ============ Full
    23 ====================
    24 ======================
    25 ==================
    26 ===========================
    27 =================================
    28 ================ 3rd/4
    29 =======================
    30 ========================
    7/1 =============
    02 ===================
    03 =======
    04 =============
    05 ===================================
    06 ================= NEW
    07 ===================================
    08 ================
    09 =====================
    10 ==========
    11 =============
    12 ==============================
    13 =====================
    14 =================== 1st/4
    15 =============================
    16 =======================
    17 =========== {LULL@1st1/4 ( Sync Event
    20 ===============================
    21 ======================== Full
    22 =============================
    23 =============================
    24 =================
    25 ============================
    26 ==================================
    28 3rd/4
    8/2 ============================
    03 ===============================
    04 =======================================
    05 ================================ New
    06 ===========================
    07 =========================================
    08 ===========================
    09 =======================
    10 =======================
    11 =================================
    12 ====================
    13 ================================== 1st1/4 Lull DUE? on 15th or 16th ?
    14 ======================
    15 ============================
    15 =====================================
    16 ===========================
    17 =========================
    16 ====================================
    17 ==================================
    18 ===============
    19 ======================
    20 =======================
    21 ======================

    19 =============================================
    20 ===========================
    21 =======================
    22 =====================
    23 =============


    6:47 PM 8/16/05 was a 7.? event day (when"A" LULL was due) {see second link}

    with so many days ({THAT I} wasn't paying attention ) of lost data
    its Hard to look at this for any pattern recognation..
    ------
    after A Strong beginning (June) a general? decline into July ?
    and NOW Aug & Sept should again be STRONG followed by another
    ====
    DOWN trend as the year ends and the new year begins
    i'll attempt to fill in the blanks {if I find the data}
    ::::
    and Earily next year will run an "off season" summery
    to show the cumulative (Monthly) ratio's ?/?
    ???
    a febal attemp was made at illuding to THE "HALF" 14&3/4 Gravity wave PRIMARY
    "CYCLE" {ei 7&3/8ths day "Clap Clap" } Charistic pattern (Superinpoising)?
    /tilt\
    these "PATTERNS" are generally {typically} consistant over many Active
    seasons {ONCE the LULL@1st1/4 can be found (and Synced upon)
    beyound tilted!
    naturally? there exists a frequency shift component {phase shift}?
    that 1. results in LULL@1st/4 {not always being equal to exactly TWO "days"
    beyound beyound
    That ?"SHIFT"? over long time frames eludes the pattern detection of fft
    {Maybe}? CZT can ferrit it out.. I don't now {see Link}?



    rev 20050816-17

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