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Thread: Oct-Nov-Dec Quakes

  1. #1
    Guest
    <a name="20020508.Q"> page 20020508.Q aka Oct-Nov-Dec Quakes
    <pre>::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::: | | 2-8-01 begin Clm 2
    10 6 /... this Active Quake Season::::::::::| | 2-9-18 getting ready
    11 4<583..WILL Begin SomeWhen:::::::::::::::| | A Full moon 2B 9/21/02
    12 4 .. prior to Oct 6th 2002::::::::::::::| | NEW MOON events [10/6]
    29 30 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 Oct| | Q1 4cast 10/2-4 {mark it}
    3/4......<---Q-->....NMoon...<--Q-->.........| |...belive what you will
    13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 Oct| | Ok? 2-10-03
    1/4...Lull...<--Q-->....Full....<--Q-->......| | this 1st lull
    27 28 29 30 31 n1 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 Nov| | OCT 15 {looking}
    ......3/4..<--q-->......NMoon...<---Q--->....| |
    10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 Nov| |
    ...1/4...Lull............<-Q>.Full...........<?>| |
    24 25 26 27 28 29 30 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 Dec| |
    .........3/4...........?......New...<???>.........| |
    08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 Dec| |
    .........1/4...Lull..........................| |
    22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 01 02 03 04 Jan| |
    <a name="Rev=2-9-26"> LINE= Rev=2-9-26 aka Rev=2-9-26

    nOVEMBER/
    was an extreamly quiet Quake month ? and so was Dec
    for an Active Quake season
    the reason I give for this was that
    October was Extreamly Active and pre
    released Novembers strains
    02/11/18 22:51:56 4.18S 102.16E 33.0 5.6M A SOUTHERN SUMATRA
    02/11/20 21:32:31 35.53N 74.53E 33.0 5.8M A NORTHWESTERN KASHMIR
    11/26 00:48:21 51.69N 173.62W 69.2 5.6M A ANDREANOF ISL
    11/26 00:48:14 51.63N 173.59W 20.6 5.9M A ANDREANOF ISL, ALEUTIAN IS
    1: really I must apologizs
    2: for not maintaining this site
    3: once activity dies down
    4: {becomes less than expected}
    5: ( my interest level )
    6: { which reallys not very great to begin with}
    7: (Goes right out the window}
    8: {and down to near or below? zero}
    9: & I of course do NOT know how to do a web search
    10 IN Nov & December for the number &
    1: Location of Earth Quakes between
    2: 5.6 &6.5 world wide
    3: {yes I include the moon }
    4: (Quit nit picking}
    5:-------------------------
    6:now where was I {i forget easily}
    7:================================
    8:Ok way below Average #'s for Nov Dec
    9:in the 2002 Active Quake season
    20 Because October was so over active
    1: OBViously
    2:But back to the complaints
    3: YES YES almost ever day
    4:using the 386 I dial in to a BBs
    5:that follows the daily Quakes
    6: So really i've no actuall excuse
    7: except its just 2boring for words
    8:???/

    <font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: HUb' on 2002-12-02 18:44 ]</font>

    <font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: HUb' on 2002-12-22 05:59 ]</font>

  2. #2
    Guest
    <a name="20020718.12:15"> page 20020718.12:15 aka CharKing
    On 2002-05-08 14:10, HUb' wrote: To: 4 CHUEN 5 XUL
    http://www.viser.net/~charking/
    1: Just now: I was listening to Coast To Coast
    2: with Art Bell & Charlotte's on: See link above
    beskeptical
    Amazing. I check the SOHO site daily
    http://www.spaceweather.com/
    http://www.maj.com/sun/noaa.html
    http://www.badastronomy.com/phpBB/vi...1771&forum=2&6
    Now concerning this story The Quake happens
    about 50 hours after the event [IF ITs A HIT]?
    I did look for a quake associated with the solar event
    and I did not see any ? however my data was cut at a critical time :6:09 P.M. PST

    <font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: HUb' on 2002-08-01 22:15 ]</font>

  3. #3
    Guest
    <a name="20020718.1:52"> page 20020718.1:52 aka Xray Flare / CME ?
    <A HREF="http://www.solar.ifa.hawaii.edu/ARMaps/armaps.html">
    1: get spot number & location from hawaii </A>
    <A HREF="gopher://solar.sec.noaa.gov/11/plots/xray">
    2: get event time from Geos 8-9 xray </A>
    <A HREF="http://www.nso.noao.edu/synoptic/synoptic.html">
    3: check magnetic image from noao </A>
    1: its been years ago now : Maybe those still "WORK"
    2: Anyway JD2452474 theres a report of an X-Class
    3: & my figure for Solar Event {x} to
    4: ERq {Earth Responce Quake} [ IF 1 occures ]
    5:has been 50 hours from x to Q
    6: so i'll research this ONE more and edit
    7: this report later
    8: 1:58 A.M. at this time I doubt there will
    9: be a 6.0 or a 6.9 {but wh knows}
    10 now on with the TAIL
    1: its off season for Lunar triggared Earth
    2: Quakes caused by the Perigee of the Moon
    3: coinsiding with the Moon at New Or Full
    4: in Oct-Nov-DEC its "NEW" and the 5.6 - 6.5
    5: Quake activitys about 1/2 what it will be
    6: in OCT-Nov-Dec etc.. in fact its a rather
    7: Quiet, Quiet period
    8: So back to x & ErQ 2:03 A.M. PST/2:08 A.M. it looks like
    9:the links still "WORK" though i've not viewed the downloads
    20filename: latest.gif ?2:25 A.M. ? X=#30 & 36 has Aim
    A.20020718_xray.gif 2:25 A.M. it was 7/18@9Z {?} +50 = 7/20@11Z
    B.a filename: pm4.jpg / I got a download from each & Will do so soon
    I could "NOT" decode pm4.jpg (not that it matters) [Thumbs down]
    HUb' 2-7-18 in responce to b.$'s
    120 mag 6.x & 800 mag 5.x [I use 5.6 to 6.5]
    60 .+. ......400 ?=450 / 4 for 3 month season = 110ish [suspect it]? or 110/3 = 40 / Month {i dont think so}
    nOON October 25, 2002 {PICKED UP tvi/RFI} SEE October 25, 2002
    <font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: HUb' on 2002-07-19 00:30 ]</font>

    <font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: HUb' on 2002-10-25 17:41 ]</font>

  4. #4
    Join Date
    May 2002
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    I've never heard of CharKing. It wasn't too hard to predict Mt St Helens was going to have a large eruption. It was deforming upward some 10 feet a day! It's unfortunate the scientists didn't heed their own warnings.

    From the link Ms King said regarding the day before the May 18th eruption, "She was particularly concerned about a troop of scouts who had chosen that weekend to hike into Spirit Lake and retrieve some of their gear that was kept at the mountain..."

    I find that pretty hard to swallow. Spirit Lake was definitely in the 'Red Zone'. Except for the researchers and a few residents, only a limited number of loggers were supposed to be there, and only to work. I can't imagine any scouts hiking in to get their gear though I can't say I checked into the story.

    Ms King also talks about Mammoth Lakes in California. Well that's certainly old news. The caldera there was active, and it most likely will erupt again. But in the last several years the activity has decreased considerably.

    Besides being a Sun watcher, I also check the EQ sites. Guess I just like excitement. [img]/phpBB/images/smiles/icon_biggrin.gif[/img] Quakes are another one of those things that occur every day in large numbers. I'd be more nervous if they stopped for a day than if they increased.

    Locally, we have had Mag 8-9 quakes here every 300 to 500 years. The last big one was 350 years ago. I do carry EQ insurance on my house. And our block is organized somewhat. We have jobs assigned like a team to shut off gas valves, one for first aid, one to babysit pets and kids if someone can't get home. Stuff like that. Amazingly our last significant quake, (7.1), didn't even knock stuff off my shelves, and my shelves are covered on every square inch with 'neat stuff'. My house wasn't in the jello bowl I guess. I certainly got to feel the ground go up and down for almost a minute. That is a long quake for those of you who don't have experience with them.

    Here's some good sites from my bookmarks for real time EQ reports. You can surf the links and find your area. You can also find how many quakes occur annually around the world. On average there are at least a couple mag 7-9 every year. There are hundreds of mag 6s and thousands of smaller ones. There has been no significant changes in the stats. We just get more international news.

    Worldwide:
    http://wwwneic.cr.usgs.gov/neis/bulletin/

    You might notice Dave from Japan lives on shaky ground.

    For the Northwest with links to the rest of the US:
    http://spike.geophys.washington.edu/recenteqs/

    For Canada:
    http://www.pgc.nrcan.gc.ca/seismo/table.htm


    For real time seismographs from our local volcanoes:
    http://www.ess.washington.edu/SEIS/P...R/welcome.html

    It has been noted that there are more EQs where the plates sink into the deep trenches than the opposite side where the plates are spreading. The speculation is that the weight of the denser, cooler plate edge pulls it down stretching it out. I thought that was interesting.

  5. #5
    Join Date
    May 2002
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    Not to bore you all some more but I looked up the annual average number of quakes in the world as monitored by USGS:

    http://wwwneic.cr.usgs.gov/neis/eqlists/eqstats.html

    One mag 8 or greater
    18 mag 7.x
    120 mag 6.x
    800 mag 5.x
    6200 mag 4.x (estimated because not all are monitored at mag 4.9 or less)
    49,000 mag 3.x
    9,000 per DAY at mag 2.9 or smaller.

    Like I said, I'd be more concerned if they stopped.

    <font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: beskeptical on 2002-07-18 22:34 ]</font>

  6. #6
    Join Date
    Oct 2001
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    2,677
    On 2002-07-18 06:35, beskeptical wrote:
    You might notice Dave from Japan lives on shaky ground.
    Thanks for remembering me! [img]/phpBB/images/smiles/icon_smile.gif[/img]

    Yes, it's well known that Japan is one of the most geologically active areas of the world. It has the most active volcanoes and I believe the greatest number of earthquakes.

    But that said, I was surprised to discover when I got here just how rare it is to have a noticeable earthquake in my area. The Osaka-Kobe-Kyoto area seems to be much less active than the Tokyo area. I only experience maybe 2-3 noticable earthquakes a year, if that much. In the six years that I've been here I've only been in 3 quakes of any size, all about mag 3.0-3.5. In fact they were all really the outskirting waves of stronger quakes farther away. There just hasn't been that much activity directly under my feet that I know of.

    Not to say that there isn't any danger. I know several people who were in the 1995 Kobe quake, and when I first visited Kobe about 2 years later I could still see signs of the damage it caused.

    The worrying thing is, then, that the infrequency of large quakes lends a false sense of security. They still say a big one might hit this area within the next 100 years or so, so I worry a little. Doesn't a lack of small quakes sometimes mean that pressure is building up to a breaking point?

  7. #7
    Join Date
    Jun 2002
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    4,519
    On 2002-07-18 22:33, beskeptical wrote:
    Like I said, I'd be more concerned if they stopped.
    On 2002-07-19 01:51, David Hall wrote:
    Doesn't a lack of small quakes sometimes mean that pressure is building up to a breaking point?
    Durn Tootin'

    As beskeptical, Wisely Pointed Out, A Large Number of Small Quakes, is Preferable, to Even ONE Big One, Think about it This Way; A. Bell, is a Fun Thing to Touch, Just don't Try to Stop it From Vibrating!

  8. #8
    Guest
    <a name="20020801.2:24"> page 20020801.2:24 aka Active 5.6-6.5 <pre>
    1: July . Aug..: Sept ..| Oct ..: Nov ..| Dec
    2:02 5.8|03 5.6|04 5.610/01 5.7.. November
    3:03 6.0:07 5.8|06 5.910/01 5.8 . has so far
    4:13 5.8|07 5.6|07 5.910/03 5.8 ! 2-11-18
    5:17 5.6:07 5.8|11 5.610/03 5.7 ! been extreamly quiet
    6:24 5.9|07 6.0|13 6.510/03 6.4 !
    7:29 5.7:08 5.9|14 4.410/03 6.0 ! really
    8:31 5.9|______|14 5.710/04 6.4 ! REALLY
    9:29 5.6_______|15 6.510/07 5.7...Really
    .....6.2|08 5.9|16 5.610/07 5.7...Quiet
    ........|09 6.1|16 6.310/08 6.0
    2:____NO!______|16 5.810/10 6.7 !
    3:_____I_______|17 6.110/10 6.0 ! no
    4:____don't____|20 6.010/10 5.6 ! explination
    5:__know__if___|20 6.310/10 6.0 ! given?
    6:___July______|24 6.410/12 6.8
    7:____&________|24 6.010/12 5.6
    8:__Aug________|24 6.210/13 6.1
    9:____data_____|24 6.310/13 6.0
    20_____are_____|25 5.610/13 2.8 {13th}Lull
    1:__complete___|26 5.710/14 5.6
    2:__probably___|......10/14 6.1..
    3:___"NOT"_____|......10/14 5.1..
    4:_____________|......Lull{15th}.11/15 5.8
    5:_____________|......10/16 6.2..11/15 6.4
    6:_____________|......10/16 6.2..11/16 5.6
    7:_____________|......10/16 6.1..11/17 7.5
    8:_____________|......10/17 6.2 !
    9:_____________|......10/17 6.2 !
    30_____________|......10/19 5.9 !
    1:_____________|......10/19 6.2 !
    2:_____________|......10/19 6.2 !
    3:_____________|......10/22 6.2
    4:_____________|......10/23 6.7
    5:_____________|......10/24 5.6 !
    6:about 3 times|......10/24 6.3 !
    7:the quake____|......10/24 5.6 !
    8:activity_____|......HMM? 34 ?
    9:_as the Quite|......WELL THATS IT
    40_months______|......FOR oct
    -----------------------------------as the Season winds down }
    1:
    2:
    3:
    4:
    5:
    6:
    7:
    8:
    9:
    1:
    2:
    3:
    4:
    5:
    6:
    <font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: HUb' on 2002-11-02 23:11 ]</font>
    2-11-18 Nov Quakes update
    <font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: HUb' on 2002-11-07 20:16 ]</font>

    <font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: HUb' on 2002-11-18 23:27 ]</font>

  9. #9
    Join Date
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    I understand HUb' but you seem to be listing pretty meaningless data as it is presented. Many researchers have looked for patterns in EQ occurrences in their quests to predict quakes. No pattern has been found so far.

    If you find more quakes for 3 months compared to 3 different months that might be interesting. But then you'd have to carry that through to look at larger samples and see if the pattern was a coincidence or a true pattern. That's already been done and there was no pattern.

  10. #10
    Guest
    <a name="QUAKE?ANSWERS"> page QUAKE?ANSWERS aka QUAKE?ANSWERS
    THE FIRST QUESTION TO ANSWERE of course would be the
    oNE about it "has been proven" using historical Quake data
    that no patter exists.. & I've seen those myself
    A1. the way I avoid the logical positivist problem
    to begin was not to look for Quake data.. but
    to look for no Quake data [for example Lunar]
    but i digress {anyway after searching 4myself}
    I arived at the "LULL@1ST.1/4" WHICH most frequently
    occurs two days AFTER the first Quarter.. And it was
    That Lull that evenually broke the Quake Code .. so to speak
    I have hi expectations of this Lull system.. tho i admitt there are times when it does not score a hi %, but on average its pretty good? better than any others i've encountered. HUb' 3:48 P.M. PST / 97209
    September 26, 2002 2:23 P.M. PST now lets look at the prediction of the next message
    of this thread: that there "absoultely nothing out of the ordinary about th" :{believe whateve you like} [ I like to believe it will be X_tra.Ordinary]

    <font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: HUb' on 2002-09-26 18:34 ]</font>

    <font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: HUb' on 2002-10-01 22:36 ]</font>

  11. #11
    Join Date
    Aug 2002
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    2,189
    Hub', there is absoultely nothing out of the ordinary about the earthquakes. I have no idea why you persist in this.

  12. #12
    Guest
    <a name="September 26, 2002"> LINE = September 26, 2002 aka September 26, 2002
    On 2002-09-18 22:39, JS Princeton wrote: To: no time stamp HUb' ?? 22 ??
    Hub', there is absoultely nothing out of the ordinary about the earthquakes. I have no idea why you persist in this.
    aaaaaaah A true critic of HUb' time
    How I L'm
    anyway espically the one who do use a negative..
    NOW about nothing Xtrodanary about the upcomming series
    {by that i mean 10-11-12 = Oct-Nov=Dec}
    And sun spots Line below will link to sun spots
    0: link to sun spot goes here {HUb'}

    <font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: HUb' on 2002-09-26 18:37 ]</font>

  13. #13
    Guest
    On 2002-08-01 19:16, beskeptical wrote: To: 486/100 HUb'
    I understand HUb' but you seem to be listing pretty meaningless data as it is presented. Many researchers have looked for patterns in EQ occurrences in their quests to predict quakes. No pattern has been found so far.

    If you find more quakes for 3 months compared to 3 different months that might be interesting. But then you'd have to carry that through to look at larger samples and see if the pattern was a coincidence or a true pattern. That's already been done and there was no pattern.
    Yes:yes. I know logical positivist have done as you say
    and sure i disagree with "THE" finding.. OK? [A1] try http://www.lehappy.com [Q2:] well no question i do try to keep up {I know i cant} [&3?] lemme look again: Yeah/yeah Time frameattern? the time frame= 14&3/4 Earth days {1/2 Lunar cycle} & pattern = Lullat1st.1/4 something like that anyway but the at sign {SHIFTED2} has another function here so I skiped{replaced it with spellin?
    for example THEY did not even find "LULL@1st.1/4" and if you do a search U2 can find "THIS". LULL:

    <font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: HUb' on 2002-09-21 11:46 ]</font>

  14. #14
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    I don't see any problem with HUb' searching for patterns in earthquakes. I mean, at worst he's just wasting his time in a fruitless search, and at best he might actually uncover something useful. In any case, if it makes him happy, great.

    Good luck HUb', and if you find anything, be sure to let us know about it, ok?

  15. #15
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    On 2002-09-20 09:38, David Hall wrote:
    In any case, if it makes him happy, great.
    The mark of a true scientist, knowledge for knowledge's sake. [img]/phpBB/images/smiles/icon_smile.gif[/img]

  16. #16
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    There's nothing wrong with looking for a pattern, but how you determine if there is one needs to follow a line of scientific inquiry, not merely listing anecdotal coincidences.

    For example, decide what events you think correlate with EQs. List all of those events. List all EQs of whatever magnitude during whatever timeframe you think correlate. Is there a pattern?

  17. #17
    Guest
    <a name="20020922.2:2"> page 20020922.2:2 aka push to TOP
    On 2002-09-21 04:15, beskeptical wrote: To!


    For example, decide what events you think correlate with EQs. List all of those events. List all EQs of whatever magnitude during whatever timeframe you think correlate. Is there a pattern?

    http://www.badastronomy.com/phpBB/vi...m=1#20020508.Q

    ok upcomming: its 10/(2,3,&4) as i recall {just a sec} [Checking]
    now back to Answers Abouve ? in thread to shorten thread ? {maybe}

    <font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: HUb' on 2002-09-22 06:44 ]</font>

  18. #18
    Guest
    <a name="20020927.9:42"> page 20020927.9:42 aka perigee?
    <pre>
    2452525 PERIGEE 358758 KM | FROM what i call
    2452539 2002 , 9 , 21 FULL | ASTROnOMY programs
    2452540 APOGEE 406342 KM | {which i don't trust}
    2452553 2002 , 10 , 5 NEW | (it gives 10/5 as New)?
    2452554 PERIGEE 356933 KM | here A & P
    2452567 APOGEE 406364 KM | / occurs between N & F
    2452568 2002 , 10 , 20 FULL | inplying a shorter cycle
    2452582 PERIGEE 358170 KM |-------------------------
    2452583 2002 , 11 , 4 NEW | anyway i would mostly
    2452594 APOGEE 405794 KM | like to include
    2452598 2002 , 11 , 19 FULL | MOON: North & South
    2452610 PERIGEE 362296 KM | dates also
    2452612 2002 , 12 , 3 NEW | HOWEVRE: I DO NOT
    2452622 APOGEE 404913 KM | have a program for that
    </pre>
    note? based upon this data the Active Season
    should "HAVE" included Sept(9) with <=553 583 ? checking??
    "WOULD" include the month of September
    AS: the perigee occurs 1 day prior to New
    & the Perigee is near its Min {in Oct}
    thus?/? Sept may well be more active than Dec?
    ----
    So: Sure i admitt the patterns do not fit
    PRECISLY :: but the "LULL@1ST.1/4" should
    be seen in a close look at the Quake data

    <font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: HUb' on 2002-09-28 07:57 ]</font>
    i cannot understand Why this does not Align?
    <font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: HUb' on 2002-09-30 09:49 ]</font>

    <font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: HUb' on 2002-09-30 23:19 ]</font>

  19. #19
    Join Date
    Oct 2001
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    On 2002-09-28 01:58, HUb' wrote:
    "WOULD" include the month of September
    AS: the perigee occurs 1 day prior to New
    & the Perigee is near its Min {in Oct}
    thus?/? Sept may well be more active than Dec?
    Hey, September is about over. The time to make predictions about September was last month. [img]/phpBB/images/smiles/icon_smile.gif[/img]

    The new moon in September was in the first week, and the next new moon will be towars the end of the first week of October.
    So: Sure i admitt the patterns do not fit
    PRECISLY :: but the "LULL@1ST.1/4" should
    be seen in a close look at the Quake data
    Show me. (I'm not from Missouri, but I have cousins there)

  20. #20
    Guest
    On 2002-09-28 04:07, GrapesOfWrath wrote: To? 4:52 A.M. PST
    On 2002-09-28 01:58, HUb' wrote:
    "WOULD" include the month of September {searching} time out drats
    the datas just above the 64k limit of the buffer so later 4this1 4:55 A.M.
    :: problem with snipper? hmm? 4:58 A.M. hm? 5:00 A.M.
    page 20020801.2:24 aka Active 5.6-6.5

    Hey, September is about over. The time to make predictions about September was last month. [img]/phpBB/images/smiles/icon_smile.gif[/img]1: July . Aug..: Sept ..| Oct ..: Nov ..| Dec

    The new moon in September was in the first week, and the next new moon will be towars the end of the first week of October.
    2:02 5.8|03 5.6|04 5.6
    why do i skip lines with an upload? 5:06 A.M. dont know
    3:03 6.0:07 5.8|06 5.9 maybe the lull was 5th?
    Show me. (I'm not from Missouri, but I have cousins there)4:13 5.8|07 5.6|07 5.9
    3:03 6.0:07 5.8|06 5.9 maybe the lull was 6th?

  21. #21
    Guest
    On 2002-09-28 08:13, HUb' wrote: to HUb' 5:10 A.M. Math hour
    On 2002-09-28 04:07, GrapesOfWrath wrote: To? 4:52 A.M. PST
    On 2002-09-28 01:58, HUb' wrote:
    5:11 A.M. with the computer problems I was
    currently having there was no way to reply
    in any sencicall way.. Just a min i look at
    a calander :: {time passes from 5:13 A.M.
    5:13 A.M. the Cal said the 1st.1/4 was the 13th
    so the "LULL@1ST.1/4" should hav been on the 15th of 9
    now will the buffer reach it?
    he he its looks like a gotcha good as from the 13th thru
    the 15th and beyiound there were several 6's
    reported to have occured..
    So Yeah scor it 1 for HUb' na sayer[$] and 0.0 for HUb'
    now back to computer problem # 5:19 A.M.
    http://www.badastronomy.com/phpBB/vi...&19#20020508.Q

  22. #22
    Guest
    <a name="20020928.4:12"> page 20020928.4:12 aka E_Quake Round
    <pre>-------------------
    Rev 98-10-21 4ea2yr "Jiggle O' Quakes" = 1ea8yr "ROUND" of Quakes
    NEW 97-98 FULL| NEW 99-00 FULL| NEW 01-02 FULL| NEW 03-04 FULL|
    JD2450ooo+ | JD2451ooo+ | JD2451ooo+ | JD2452ooo+ |
    .:... SFSF ....|..:... SWSW ....|..:... FSFS ....|..:.. WSWS ....|
    1 9 / 1 23| 1 17 1 31| 1 24 949>2 8| 1 2 1 18
    2 7<487 2 22| 2 16 3 2| 2 23 / 3 9| 2 1 2 16
    3 9 3 24| 3 17 3 31| 3 25JD245 4 8| 3 3 3 18
    4 7 4 22| 4 16 / 4 30| 4 232ooo+ 5 7| 4 1 4 16
    5 6 5 22| 5 15<314 5 30| 5 23 6 6| 5 1 776/5 16
    6 5 6 20| 6 13 6 28| 6 21 7 5| 5 31 6 14
    7 4 7 20| 7 13 7 28| 7 20 / 8 4| 6 29 7 13
    8 3 8 18| 8 11 8 26| 8 19<141 9 2| 7 29 8 12
    9 1 708>9 16| 9 9 9 25| 9 17 10 2| 8 27 9 10
    10 1 /10 16| 10 9 10 24| 10 16 11 1| 9 26 10 10
    10 31 11 14| 11 8 11 23| 11 15 11 30| 10 25/ 11 9
    11 30 12 14| 12 7 535>12 22| 12 14 12 30| 11 23968 12 8
    12 29 1 12| 1 6 / 1 21| 1 13 1 28| 12 23 1 7
    1 28 2 11| 2 5 2 19| 2 12 2 27| 1 21 2 6
    2 26 3 13| 3 6 3 20| 3 14 362>3 28| 2 20 3 6
    3 28 / 4 11| 4 4 4 18| 4 12 / 4 27| 3 20 4 5
    4 26930 5 11| 5 4 5 18| 5 12 5 26| 4 19 3ooo+5 4
    5 25 6 10| 6 2 6 16| 6 10 6 24| 5 19 6 3
    6 24 7 9| 7 1/ 7 16| 7 10 7 24| 6 17 189>7 2
    7 23 1ooo+8 8| 7 31757 8 15| 8 8 8 22| 7 17 / 7 31
    8 22 9 6| 8 29 9 13| 9 7 ? 9 21 / 8 16 8 30
    9 20 10 5| 9 27 10 13| 10 6|553 10 21| 9 14 9 28
    10 20 122|11 4| 10 27 11 11| 11 4|583 11 20| 10 14 10 28
    11 19 |12 3| 11 25 12 11| 12 4 12 19| 11 12 11 26
    12 18 / 1 | 12 25 1 9| 1 2 1 18| 12 12 12 26
    -----In this revision it appears that a sequence 8,8,7,7,8,8,7,7
    PARAHILLIONS take place. So the day counts 221,221,194,194,221,221
    =============
    </pre>
    1:It seams rather clear that Sept 2002 "WAS"
    2:a part of an Active season .. So I would
    3: {um After the fact} say [maybe I made a mistake]
    4:way back in 98 placing the < time when New
    5:Moon matched Lunar perigee as being 11(Nov)
    6:and it's possible that mark should be 10(oct)
    7:i will look at this furthor as a Xtraordanary
    8:detail [Yes I do make mistakes] & sure
    9:when its wronge it should be detectable // 2-9-30
    this page represents a full eight(9) year
    Earth Quake Round: [No it does not sync perfectly]
    however the patterns predictable FAR OUT
    as long as your data for New{Full} Moon
    and perigee are correct? September 28, 2002 4:19 P.M. PST
    October 1, 2002 ? I though I put 553 on here befor?
    <font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: HUb' on 2002-09-30 09:43 ]</font>

    <font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: HUb' on 2002-10-01 22:43 ]</font>

  23. #23
    Guest
    <a name="20020929.6:45"> POST 20020929.6:45 aka 553 ? 583 ? Sept
    IT DOES SEAM: {in ind sight} that this partivular
    "ACTIVE QUAKE SEASON" represents an
    'extraordinary' event in that it may well be
    "A THREE LULL SEASON" ei four actine months
    instead of the usual 3 {and ii dd not detect the detail}
    [when i constructed the columns back in '98]
    so yeah yeah; I say its the difference between
    N & L between astronomy & astrology?
    Not sure i can adaquatly exolain this:
    nut behind the construction of the Columns
    lies the principal {an astrological one}
    that there does exist a conJoining (in TIME}
    of {in this case} the New Moon & its Perigee?
    And for this active season {an Extraordinary one}
    that date falls in two seperate months [10&11]
    {Oct & Nov} & I did mis this "signifiant detail" WHEN
    in '98 { I ran for US Senate fromthe state of OR}
    against the then two Very powerfull US Senators
    FROM STATE {and they both Quit} So explain to me
    Why "BOTH" in terms of Astronomy? Hmm?/?
    So its back to TV watching 4me
    and I see now {yesy I ran for Governor}
    No the Governor did not run 4it
    that TV says ther are 3 Can_Dates
    in the race today? Y 3? will you explain
    why there are three [When the primaries are over?? Hu?
    <pre>
    8 22 9 6| 8 29 9 13| 9 7 / 9 21| 8 16 8 30
    9 20 10 5| 9 27 10 13| 10 6 |553 10 21| 9 14 9 28
    10 20 122|11 4| 10 27 11 11| 11 4|583 11 20| 10 14 10 28
    11 19 |12 3| 11 25 12 11| 12 4 12 19| 11 12 11 26
    12 18 / 1 | 12 25 1 9| 1 2 1 18| 12 12 12 26
    -----In this revision it appears that a sequence 8,8,7,7,8,8,7,7
    PARAHILLIONS take place. So the day counts 221,221,194,194,221,221
    =============
    </pre>
    1:It seams rather clear that Sept 2002 "WAS"
    2:a part of an Active season .. So I would
    3: {um After the fact} say [maybe I made a mistake]
    4:way back in 98 placing the < time when New
    5:Moon matched Lunar perigee as being 11(Nov)
    6:and it's possible that mark should be 10(oct)
    7:i will look at this furthor as a Xtraordanary
    8:detail [Yes I do make mistakes] & sure
    9:when its wronge it should be detectable // 2-9-30
    this page represents a full eight(9) year
    Earth Quake Round: [No it does not sync perfectly]
    however the patterns predictable FAR OUT
    as long as your data for New{Full} Moon
    and perigee are correct? September 28, 2002 4:19 P.M. PST

    <font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: HUb' on 2002-09-30 09:43 ]</font>
    and this port city's in Blokaid? could it be Warf?

  24. #24
    Guest
    <a name="JD2452559"> page JD2452559 aka Push A 7 to page 1
    anyway? A 7 falls out "ABOVE" the Lunar Responce window
    & I do :"NOT": rule out this was Solar Driven
    I will try to provide links {later}

    'extraordinary' event in that it may well be

    10/10 10:50:20 1.71S 134.16E 10.0 7.6M A IRIAN JAYA REGION, INDONESIA
    10/10 12:27:52 1.47S 134.17E 10.0 5.5M A IRIAN JAYA REGION, INDONESIA
    10/10 12:28:25 1.48S 133.97E 10.0 6.7M A IRIAN JAYA REGION, INDONESIA
    10/10 12:29:35 1.30S 133.91E 10.0 6.0M A IRIAN JAYA REGION, INDONESIA
    10/10 13:52:28 7.27N 126.61E 33.0 5.1M B MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES
    10/10 21:19:58 1.42S 134.10E 10.0 5.7M A IRIAN JAYA REGION, INDONESIA

    A 7 yes & even a 6.7 fall "above" Lunar triggerd

    And for this active season {an Extraordinary one}
    that date falls in two seperate months [10&11]

    1:00 P.M. & their4 its possible it was Solar Driven {search underway}
    http://www.badastronomy.com/phpBB/vi...#20020718.1:52
    aka Xray Flare / CME ?
    Why "BOTH" in terms of Astronomy? Hmm?/?
    So its back to TV watching 4me Ch 8 at 5 2-10-11

    1:12 P.M. Well 10/10 part of the Active 3 days
    So its may {still checking} be both Solar & Lunar ?
    7:18 A.M. 2-10-12 I did an X-Ray exam and found "NO" X
    so near as i see the 7 was not from the SUN
    <pre>
    8 22 9 6| 8 29 9 13| 9 7 / 9 21| 8 16 8 30
    9 20 10 5| 9 27 10 13| 10 6 |553 10 21| 9 14 9 28
    10 20 122|11 4| 10 27 11 11| 11 4|583 11 20| 10 14 10 28
    11 19 |12 3| 11 25 12 11| 12 4 12 19| 11 12 11 26
    12 18 / 1 | 12 25 1 9| 1 2 1 18| 12 12 12 26
    -----In this revision it appears that a sequence 8,8,7,7,8,8,7,7
    PARAHILLIONS take place. So the day counts 221,221,194,194,221,221
    =============
    </pre>
    7:20 A.M. 2-10-12 My current opinion was?
    that this seven WAS of Lunar Trigger verity
    whic would be X_tra.0rdinary & make Oct02
    an extraordinarlly active period now what did i callit?
    {OH YES NOW I REMember an applause to be followed son by a LULL watch 4that
    6:and it's possible that mark should be 10(oct)
    7:i will look at this furthor as a Xtraordanary
    8:detail [Yes I do make mistakes] & sure
    9:when its wronge it should be detectable // 2-9-30

    8:34 A.M. 2-10-13 /486 AGAIN: i DID NOT find an X class
    event from the Sun {on geos 8/9} that corolates with these 11/10
    quakes .. So I can only say "THOSE SURE ARE BIG" for Lunar Triggered
    which they do appear {at this time} to be
    REMember its the X_tra.0rdinary that i seak4

    and this port city's in Blokaid? could it be Warf?
    block AIDs temp halted
    TV has been reporting sky lab passes
    <font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: HUb' on 2002-10-11 17:05 ]</font>

    <font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: HUb' on 2002-10-12 10:14 ]</font>

    <font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: HUb' on 2002-10-13 11:27 ]</font>

  25. #25
    Join Date
    Oct 2002
    Posts
    113
    noway that short term eq forecasting, could be sucessful as Hu`b Claims

    However Chilean Seismologists have forecasted with a accuracy rate of over 70%, quakes over long-term periods since the 30`s

    I have personaly done some analisys of that data and found some thrilling, and shocking resluts:

    Arica 2005, Mb 9
    Punta Arenas 2012(end of the world,according to the mayas) and 2065 Mb 8!

    Because Chile is my homecountry, i hope that my predictions does not fullfill themselves.
    But it would prove, once and for all that the only forecast model for Eq:s is analytic and with NO ASTRONOMY in the mix! That would be the only positve, if these events occured on the forecasted dates!

  26. #26
    Guest
    aka X_tra.0rdinary?
    7:03 A.M. pdt October 14, 2002

    http://www.badastronomy.com/phpBB/vi...2433&forum=2&3

    i did download 2 ? .png {whatever those are}
    new to me and will look at those soon
    I also was unable to link to the origional1?
    ----------
    again i was getting about 3k cps transfers
    and the 640k one took about 3.? minutes
    so its close to my max allowed time limit
    of arounf 4
    ???????????????
    now ? 'poise i say .. Earth first then SUN
    using the 7 above in this thread .. that would mean
    incomming . maybe a tacon pulsefron enterPRIZE {just kidding}
    anyway an incomming GW from Earth B4 Sun direction {more later} Wheres venus seismos ? Mars?

  27. #27
    Guest
    [quote]
    On 2002-10-14 10:02, HUb' wrote:
    aka X_tra.0rdinary?
    7:34 A.M. pdt October 14, 2002



    i did download 2 ? .png {whatever those are}

    sO? yeah: I did "TRY" to view .PNG's and
    I get the message something like:
    " & what program would you like to use to do this"
    {folowed by a long list of things i could click on }
    NONE of the whitches much interest me HOWEVER
    -------------------
    i did notice while looking4 whitch whitch
    that suddenly there did appear over on the
    bottom left of the screen a small sized version
    I can only assume it was the SUN (640K) &
    then later the 130k .. I did discover by accident
    thtat the end had to be .PNG and not .PGN i had entered at download by mistake? X. Hu?

  28. #28
    Join Date
    Oct 2001
    Posts
    2,677
    On 2002-10-14 10:31, HUb' wrote:

    i did download 2 ? .png {whatever those are}

    sO? yeah: I did "TRY" to view .PNG's and
    I get the message something like:
    " & what program would you like to use to do this"
    {folowed by a long list of things i could click on }
    NONE of the whitches much interest me HOWEVER
    .png is a relatively new picture format similar to .gif. It's specifically designed for web content. If you want to view them, you'll have to find an updated image viewer that can handle the format.

    Added: Do you have the GIMP? You can open .png with it, and it's open source. I just downloaded the Winblows version, and it seems pretty powerful.

    _________________
    <font size="-1">PLEASE NOTE: Some quantum physics theories suggest that when the consumer is not directly observing this product, it may cease to exist or will exist only in a vague and undetermined state.</font>

    <font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: David Hall on 2002-10-14 12:31 ]</font>

  29. #29
    Guest
    <a name="20021014.1:14"> page 20021014.1:14 _ P.M. PST aka ? GIMP?
    On 2002-10-14 12:26, David Hall wrote: To: 1 CAUAC 13 YAK
    On 2002-10-14 10:31, HUb' wrote
    http://www.badastronomy.com/phpBB/vi...9&forum=1&54#1 CAUAC 13 YAK
    i did download 2 ? .png {whatever those are}

    sO? yeah: I did "TRY" to view .PNG's and
    I get the message something like:
    " & what program would you like to use to do this"
    {folowed by a long list of things i could click on }
    NONE of the whitches much interest me HOWEVER
    .png is a relatively new picture format similar to .gif. It's specifically designed for web content. If you want to view them, you'll have to find an updated image viewer that can handle the format.

    Added: Do you have the GIMP? You can open .png with it, and it's open source. I just downloaded the Winblows version, and it seems pretty powerful.

    1:15 P.M. PST HUb' here thinks its an UNnix
    language on a Window {Pain} {oh never mind}
    No: and I don't want 1. My guess? In Jan?Feb
    i'll head off int Mac Land. Land an old Mac
    and hack at that. Donno Long time from now

    <font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: HUb' on 2002-10-14 17:28 ]</font>

  30. #30
    Guest
    On 2002-10-14 12:26, David Hall wrote:
    On 2002-10-14 10:31, HUb' wrote:

    i did download 2 ? .png {whatever those are}
    1 OF THOSE I MISS TITLED ON DOWNLOAD TO sum.pgn NOT .PNG
    Directory of C:td

    SUM PGN 136,770 10-14-02 1:42p SUM.PGN

    NOW i FIND I CANNOT ACCESS IT TO DELETE OR RENME IT? ANY CLUES?/? WHAT2DO?
    .png is a relatively new picture format similar to .gif. It's specifically designed for web content. If you want to view them, you'll have to find an updated image viewer that can handle the format.

    Added: Do you have the GIMP? You can open .png with it, and it's open source. I just downloaded the Winblows version, and it seems pretty powerful.

    _________________



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